Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 17.448623 19.894518 22.683593 26.126150 30.298155 35.238678 41.604708
2025-07-27 13.889678 16.826111 20.464848 25.391121 32.024091 40.856378 53.886972
2025-08-03 12.423148 15.700317 20.008943 26.255269 35.378477 48.740012 70.892435
2025-08-10 11.000902 14.330543 18.900343 25.872669 36.716182 53.858248 85.220679
2025-08-17 9.915918 13.239215 17.964242 25.489758 37.845235 58.754617 100.687981
2025-08-24 9.096547 12.407474 17.262744 25.297900 39.159667 64.171986 119.064991
2025-08-31 8.306310 11.524789 16.363602 24.627050 39.485242 67.813884 135.197720
2025-09-07 7.727615 10.897172 15.777370 24.369391 40.463596 72.909988 156.910989
2025-09-14 7.046741 10.050628 14.754122 23.217133 39.547026 73.858466 168.648451
2025-09-21 6.436674 9.267277 13.761803 21.997791 38.295252 73.784470 177.653613
2025-09-28 6.003690 8.733214 13.134223 21.363543 38.114358 76.107573 195.093812
2025-10-05 6.190725 9.209810 14.244771 24.094449 45.477546 98.851389 296.545749
2025-10-12 6.021831 9.098705 14.352210 24.964231 49.107875 113.892088 388.733440
2025-10-19 5.639669 8.599754 13.724977 24.279284 48.989457 118.371172 440.302963
2025-10-26 5.498545 8.502713 13.817033 25.093002 52.713430 136.180304 587.593973
2025-11-02 5.219346 8.143351 13.387523 24.732680 53.363705 144.303811 693.426937
2025-11-09 4.964936 7.810901 12.981010 24.371949 53.946864 152.553488 819.035285
2025-11-16 4.752787 7.540491 12.671578 24.191165 55.000249 163.178335 993.289517
2025-11-23 4.507555 7.195327 12.189916 23.558828 54.641336 168.140601 1131.698930
2025-11-30 4.322697 6.950294 11.888581 23.315874 55.397959 178.327797 1367.708927
2025-12-07 4.063800 6.554940 11.260300 22.228772 53.392222 175.457221 1432.374709
2025-12-14 3.814840 6.167413 10.626979 21.077274 51.024445 170.212405 1455.653784
2025-12-21 3.636621 5.904638 10.233116 20.477853 50.320543 172.801970 1620.962443